Start at 22, Retire at 65
43 years of accumulation. Standard diversified allocation.
Accumulation
43 years
age 22 → 65
Portfolio at Retirement
$47.4M
Power Law model
Monthly Budget
$17,823
at retirement
Sustainable?
Yes
through age 85
Strategy Comparison
| Strategy | Portfolio at 65 | Sustainable? |
|---|---|---|
| Default (diversified) | $47.4M | Yes |
| Aggressive (100% BTC DCA) | $118.4M | Yes |
| Traditional 60/40 | $8.3M | Yes |
What If You Shifted Retirement?
| Retire at | Years | Portfolio | Sustainable? |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 38 | $29.5M | Yes |
| 65 ★ | 43 | $47.4M | Yes |
| 70 | 48 | $73.5M | Yes |
Portfolio Growth Projection
Portfolio Comparison
Model Comparison
| Model | Portfolio at Retirement | Monthly Budget (inflation-adj.) | Sustainable? | Depletion Age | Max Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power Law | $47.4M | $18K | Yes | — | $885K/yr |
| CAGR 20% | $105.6M | $18K | Yes | — | $3.7M/yr |
| Traditional 60/40 | $8.3M | $18K | Yes | — | $136K/yr |
Decade Summary
| Age | Year | Stocks | Bonds | BTC | Other | Total | BTC Amount | BTC Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 2026 | $50K | $20K | $10K | $0 | $80K | 0.149419 BTC | $135K |
| 32 | 2036 | $189K | $98K | $454K | $71K | $813K | 0.264761 BTC | $1.7M |
| 42 | 2046 | $519K | $236K | $2.8M | $212K | $3.7M | 0.282590 BTC | $9.8M |
| 52 | 2056 | $1.3M | $473K | $10.6M | $474K | $12.9M | 0.287747 BTC | $37.0M |
| 62 | 2066 | $2.9M | $866K | $31.3M | $944K | $36.1M | 0.289841 BTC | $108.1M |
| 65★ | 2069 | $3.5M | $1.0M | $41.7M | $1.1M | $47.4M | 0.290106 BTC | $143.9M |
| 72 | 2076 | $3.5M | $1.3M | $77.2M | $1.6M | $83.6M | 0.290106 BTC | $266.1M |
| 82 | 2086 | $2.3M | $2.0M | $167.7M | $2.6M | $174.5M | 0.290106 BTC | $578.1M |
| 85 | 2089 | $1.4M | $2.2M | $207.6M | $3.0M | $214.2M | 0.290106 BTC | $715.6M |
43 Years: From 22 to Retired at 65
The difference between retiring at 65 and 70isn't just 5 more years of work — it's 5 fewer years of portfolio growth AND 5 more years of withdrawals. That double impact makes each year of earlier retirement exponentially more expensive.
With 43 years of accumulation starting at 22, the Power Law model projects a portfolio of $47.4M by age 65. This comfortably sustains $60K/year expenses through age 85.
This is not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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