$1K in Bitcoin vs Bonds over 5 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$8K
Power Law
Bonds
$1K
4% avg return
Difference
$7K
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$5K
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Bonds | BTC Infl-Adj | Bonds Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2K | $1K | $2K | $1K |
| 2027 | $3K | $1K | $3K | $1K |
| 2028 | $4K | $1K | $4K | $1K |
| 2029 | $5K | $1K | $5K | $1K |
| 2030 | $6K | $1K | $6K | $1K |
| 2031 | $8K | $1K | $7K | $1K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $7K more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $1K more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 4.0% annual growth to match Bonds.
$1K Bitcoin vs Bonds
This comparison puts $1K into Bitcoin versus Bonds at a 4% average annual return over 5 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$1K vs other assets
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