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$1K in Bitcoin vs Cash (Mattress) over 10 years

Bitcoin (PL)

$26K

Power Law

Cash (Mattress)

$1K

0% avg return

Difference

$25K

Bitcoin wins

50/50 Split

$13K

half in each

Portfolio Comparison

Year-by-Year Comparison

YearBitcoin (PL)Cash (Mattress)BTC Infl-AdjCash (Mattress) Infl-Adj
2026$2K$1K$2K$1K
2027$3K$1K$3K$971
2028$4K$1K$4K$943
2029$5K$1K$5K$915
2030$6K$1K$6K$888
2031$8K$1K$7K$863
2032$11K$1K$9K$837
2033$13K$1K$11K$813
2034$17K$1K$13K$789
2035$21K$1K$16K$766
2036$26K$1K$19K$744

Verdict

Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $25K more.

CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $5K more.

Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 0.0% annual growth to match Cash (Mattress).

$1K Bitcoin vs Cash (Mattress)

This comparison puts $1K into Bitcoin versus Cash (Mattress) at a 0% average annual return over 10 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model. Cash under the mattress earns nothing and loses purchasing power to inflation every year.

Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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