$10K in Bitcoin vs Gold over 10 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$256K
Power Law
Gold
$21K
7.5% avg return
Difference
$236K
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$138K
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Gold | BTC Infl-Adj | Gold Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $20K | $10K | $20K | $10K |
| 2027 | $28K | $11K | $27K | $10K |
| 2028 | $37K | $12K | $35K | $11K |
| 2029 | $49K | $12K | $45K | $11K |
| 2030 | $64K | $13K | $57K | $12K |
| 2031 | $83K | $14K | $72K | $12K |
| 2032 | $106K | $15K | $89K | $13K |
| 2033 | $134K | $17K | $109K | $13K |
| 2034 | $168K | $18K | $132K | $14K |
| 2035 | $208K | $19K | $160K | $15K |
| 2036 | $256K | $21K | $191K | $15K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $236K more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $41K more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 7.5% annual growth to match Gold.
$10K Bitcoin vs Gold
This comparison puts $10K into Bitcoin versus Gold at a 7.5% average annual return over 10 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$10K vs other assets
You might also like
New to Bitcoin? Start here.
Our free 10-module course covers everything from the basics to self-custody — no jargon, no shilling.
Want to customize these numbers?
Use the full Bitcoin FIRE Calculator to adjust your age, savings, expenses, and growth models. Plus explore our free 10-module Bitcoin course.