$50K in Bitcoin vs Bonds over 5 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$415K
Power Law
Bonds
$61K
4% avg return
Difference
$354K
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$238K
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Bonds | BTC Infl-Adj | Bonds Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $101K | $50K | $101K | $50K |
| 2027 | $138K | $52K | $134K | $50K |
| 2028 | $186K | $54K | $175K | $51K |
| 2029 | $246K | $56K | $225K | $51K |
| 2030 | $321K | $58K | $286K | $52K |
| 2031 | $415K | $61K | $358K | $52K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $354K more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $64K more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 4.0% annual growth to match Bonds.
$50K Bitcoin vs Bonds
This comparison puts $50K into Bitcoin versus Bonds at a 4% average annual return over 5 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$50K vs other assets
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