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$50K in Bitcoin vs Gold over 10 years

Bitcoin (PL)

$1.3M

Power Law

Gold

$103K

7.5% avg return

Difference

$1.2M

Bitcoin wins

50/50 Split

$692K

half in each

Portfolio Comparison

Year-by-Year Comparison

YearBitcoin (PL)GoldBTC Infl-AdjGold Infl-Adj
2026$101K$50K$101K$50K
2027$138K$54K$134K$52K
2028$186K$58K$175K$54K
2029$246K$62K$225K$57K
2030$321K$67K$286K$59K
2031$415K$72K$358K$62K
2032$530K$77K$444K$65K
2033$670K$83K$545K$67K
2034$838K$89K$662K$70K
2035$1.0M$96K$798K$73K
2036$1.3M$103K$954K$77K

Verdict

Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $1.2M more.

CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $207K more.

Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 7.5% annual growth to match Gold.

$50K Bitcoin vs Gold

This comparison puts $50K into Bitcoin versus Gold at a 7.5% average annual return over 10 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.

Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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