$10K in Bitcoin vs Bonds over 5 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$83K
Power Law
Bonds
$12K
4% avg return
Difference
$71K
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$48K
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Bonds | BTC Infl-Adj | Bonds Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $20K | $10K | $20K | $10K |
| 2027 | $28K | $10K | $27K | $10K |
| 2028 | $37K | $11K | $35K | $10K |
| 2029 | $49K | $11K | $45K | $10K |
| 2030 | $64K | $12K | $57K | $10K |
| 2031 | $83K | $12K | $72K | $10K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $71K more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $13K more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 4.0% annual growth to match Bonds.
$10K Bitcoin vs Bonds
This comparison puts $10K into Bitcoin versus Bonds at a 4% average annual return over 5 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$10K vs other assets
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