$10K in Bitcoin vs Gold over 20 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$1.5M
Power Law
Gold
$42K
7.5% avg return
Difference
$1.4M
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$753K
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Gold | BTC Infl-Adj | Gold Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $20K | $10K | $20K | $10K |
| 2028 | $37K | $12K | $35K | $11K |
| 2030 | $64K | $13K | $57K | $12K |
| 2032 | $106K | $15K | $89K | $13K |
| 2034 | $168K | $18K | $132K | $14K |
| 2036 | $256K | $21K | $191K | $15K |
| 2038 | $380K | $24K | $267K | $17K |
| 2040 | $550K | $28K | $363K | $18K |
| 2042 | $777K | $32K | $484K | $20K |
| 2044 | $1.1M | $37K | $632K | $22K |
| 2046 | $1.5M | $42K | $810K | $24K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $1.4M more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $341K more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 7.5% annual growth to match Gold.
$10K Bitcoin vs Gold
This comparison puts $10K into Bitcoin versus Gold at a 7.5% average annual return over 20 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$10K vs other assets
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