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$50K in Bitcoin vs Cash (Mattress) over 10 years

Bitcoin (PL)

$1.3M

Power Law

Cash (Mattress)

$50K

0% avg return

Difference

$1.2M

Bitcoin wins

50/50 Split

$666K

half in each

Portfolio Comparison

Year-by-Year Comparison

YearBitcoin (PL)Cash (Mattress)BTC Infl-AdjCash (Mattress) Infl-Adj
2026$101K$50K$101K$50K
2027$138K$50K$134K$49K
2028$186K$50K$175K$47K
2029$246K$50K$225K$46K
2030$321K$50K$286K$44K
2031$415K$50K$358K$43K
2032$530K$50K$444K$42K
2033$670K$50K$545K$41K
2034$838K$50K$662K$39K
2035$1.0M$50K$798K$38K
2036$1.3M$50K$954K$37K

Verdict

Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $1.2M more.

CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $260K more.

Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 0.0% annual growth to match Cash (Mattress).

$50K Bitcoin vs Cash (Mattress)

This comparison puts $50K into Bitcoin versus Cash (Mattress) at a 0% average annual return over 10 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model. Cash under the mattress earns nothing and loses purchasing power to inflation every year.

Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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