$100K in Bitcoin vs Bonds over 5 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$830K
Power Law
Bonds
$122K
4% avg return
Difference
$708K
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$476K
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Bonds | BTC Infl-Adj | Bonds Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $202K | $100K | $202K | $100K |
| 2027 | $276K | $104K | $268K | $101K |
| 2028 | $372K | $108K | $350K | $102K |
| 2029 | $492K | $112K | $450K | $103K |
| 2030 | $643K | $117K | $571K | $104K |
| 2031 | $830K | $122K | $716K | $105K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $708K more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $127K more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 4.0% annual growth to match Bonds.
$100K Bitcoin vs Bonds
This comparison puts $100K into Bitcoin versus Bonds at a 4% average annual return over 5 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$100K vs other assets
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