$100K in Bitcoin vs Gold over 5 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$830K
Power Law
Gold
$144K
7.5% avg return
Difference
$686K
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$487K
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Gold | BTC Infl-Adj | Gold Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $202K | $100K | $202K | $100K |
| 2027 | $276K | $108K | $268K | $104K |
| 2028 | $372K | $116K | $350K | $109K |
| 2029 | $492K | $124K | $450K | $114K |
| 2030 | $643K | $134K | $571K | $119K |
| 2031 | $830K | $144K | $716K | $124K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $686K more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $105K more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 7.5% annual growth to match Gold.
$100K Bitcoin vs Gold
This comparison puts $100K into Bitcoin versus Gold at a 7.5% average annual return over 5 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$100K vs other assets
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