$100K in Bitcoin vs Cash (Mattress) over 5 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$830K
Power Law
Cash (Mattress)
$100K
0% avg return
Difference
$730K
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$465K
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Cash (Mattress) | BTC Infl-Adj | Cash (Mattress) Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $202K | $100K | $202K | $100K |
| 2027 | $276K | $100K | $268K | $97K |
| 2028 | $372K | $100K | $350K | $94K |
| 2029 | $492K | $100K | $450K | $92K |
| 2030 | $643K | $100K | $571K | $89K |
| 2031 | $830K | $100K | $716K | $86K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $730K more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $149K more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 0.0% annual growth to match Cash (Mattress).
$100K Bitcoin vs Cash (Mattress)
This comparison puts $100K into Bitcoin versus Cash (Mattress) at a 0% average annual return over 5 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model. Cash under the mattress earns nothing and loses purchasing power to inflation every year.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$100K vs other assets
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