$100K in Bitcoin vs Gold over 20 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$14.6M
Power Law
Gold
$425K
7.5% avg return
Difference
$14.2M
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$7.5M
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Gold | BTC Infl-Adj | Gold Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $202K | $100K | $202K | $100K |
| 2028 | $372K | $116K | $350K | $109K |
| 2030 | $643K | $134K | $571K | $119K |
| 2032 | $1.1M | $154K | $888K | $129K |
| 2034 | $1.7M | $178K | $1.3M | $141K |
| 2036 | $2.6M | $206K | $1.9M | $153K |
| 2038 | $3.8M | $238K | $2.7M | $167K |
| 2040 | $5.5M | $275K | $3.6M | $182K |
| 2042 | $7.8M | $318K | $4.8M | $198K |
| 2044 | $10.8M | $368K | $6.3M | $216K |
| 2046 | $14.6M | $425K | $8.1M | $235K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $14.2M more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $3.4M more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 7.5% annual growth to match Gold.
$100K Bitcoin vs Gold
This comparison puts $100K into Bitcoin versus Gold at a 7.5% average annual return over 20 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$100K vs other assets
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