$100K in Bitcoin vs Real Estate over 20 years
Bitcoin (PL)
$14.6M
Power Law
Real Estate
$466K
8% avg return
Difference
$14.2M
Bitcoin wins
50/50 Split
$7.6M
half in each
Portfolio Comparison
Year-by-Year Comparison
| Year | Bitcoin (PL) | Real Estate | BTC Infl-Adj | Real Estate Infl-Adj |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $202K | $100K | $202K | $100K |
| 2028 | $372K | $117K | $350K | $110K |
| 2030 | $643K | $136K | $571K | $121K |
| 2032 | $1.1M | $159K | $888K | $133K |
| 2034 | $1.7M | $185K | $1.3M | $146K |
| 2036 | $2.6M | $216K | $1.9M | $161K |
| 2038 | $3.8M | $252K | $2.7M | $177K |
| 2040 | $5.5M | $294K | $3.6M | $194K |
| 2042 | $7.8M | $343K | $4.8M | $213K |
| 2044 | $10.8M | $400K | $6.3M | $235K |
| 2046 | $14.6M | $466K | $8.1M | $258K |
Verdict
Power Law: Bitcoin wins — $14.2M more.
CAGR 20%: Bitcoin wins — $3.4M more.
Break-even: Bitcoin only needs 8.0% annual growth to match Real Estate.
$100K Bitcoin vs Real Estate
This comparison puts $100K into Bitcoin versus Real Estate at a 8% average annual return over 20 years. Bitcoin projections use the Power Law model.
Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
$100K vs other assets
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